Reviewing my Mock Expansion Draft
2022-06-23Anaheim Ducks
Predicted: Jaccob Slavin
Actual: Zack MacEwen
Note: The Ducks swung a side deal, paying a 3rd, a 4th, Josh HoSang, and Curtis Douglas to keep Seattle from taking Slavin.
Arizona Coyotes
Predicted: Ville Husso
Actual: Ville Husso
Note: The obvious pick, Husso is young and cost controlled, and Arizona had to protect Hellebuyck.
Boston Bruins
Predicted: JT Compher
Actual: Dante Fabbro
Note: The Bruins decided to protect Compher, then swung a deal that saw them send Kevin Hayes to Seattle to guarantee that Fabbro would be taken.
Buffalo Sabres
Predicted: Brendan Lemieux
Actual: Brendan Lemieux
Note: Seattle also sent a 4th to Buffalo in exchange for Kale Clague.
Calgary Flames
Predicted: Zach Bogosian
Actual: Anders Lee
Note: Seattle chose to take on the better rated Lee at $7 million rather than the cheaper Bogosian.
Carolina Hurricanes
Predicted: Carson Soucy
Actual: Oscar Sundqvist
Note: Sundqvist is under team control for longer for cheaper than Soucy, and the Kraken decided to go with defenders in a lot of other places rather than here.
Chicago Blackhawks
Predicted: Derek Stepan
Actual: Guillaume Brisebois
Note: Not a lot to pick from here. Chicago ended up protecting Stepan, and so Seattle went for the young defenseman who does not appear to be related to Julian Brisebois.
Colorado Avalanche
Predicted: TJ Brodie
Actual: Nikita Zaitsev
Note: Colorado gives up a 2nd, Keaton Middleton, and Jason Dickinson to keep Brodie.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Predicted: Zach Hyman
Actual: Danton Heinen
Note: Columbus traded Max Pacioretty shortly before the deadline, allowing them to protect Hyman.
Dallas Stars
Predicted: Mason Shaw
Actual: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Note: Dallas also sent Blake Coleman and Zemgus Girgensons to Seattle in order to dump RNH’s remaining 5 years at $8.25 million.
Detroit Red Wings
Predicted: Ilya Samsonov
Actual: Ondrej Kase
Note: Detroit ended up protecting Samsonov after trading Stuart Skinner to Montreal, leaving Seattle to take Kase instead.
Edmonton Oilers
Predicted: Robby Fabbri
Actual: Scott Wedgewood
Note: Fabbri did in fact go to Seattle as part of a side deal, along with Alec Martinez. Edmonton received cash and a pass along of Jason Dickinson from Colorado.
Florida Panthers
Predicted: Caleb Jones
Actual: Caleb Jones
Note: Florida’s young core was largely exempt, leaving Jones the obvious choice.
Los Angeles Kings
Predicted: James Reimer
Actual: Riley Stillman
Note: Seattle largely went young in net, and so passed on the veteran Reimer in favor of the young D-man.
Minnesota Wild
Predicted: Mikhail Sergachev
Actual: Ben Chiarot
Note: Sergachev was a major piece in Minnesota acquiring Auston Matthews. Seattle will instead look to try to fleece someone like the real life Panthers were fleeced this past season for Chiarot.
Montreal Canadiens
Predicted: Wayne Simmonds
Actual: Givani Smith
Note: There wasn’t a lot here, and Seattle chose to take a young forward rather than the effective pass that taking Simmonds would have been.
Nashville Predators
Predicted: Ryan Lindgren
Actual: Ryan Lindgren
Note: I’m so smart
New Jersey Devils
Predicted: Alex Nedeljkovic
Actual: Alex Nedeljkovic
Note: New Jersey also took the opportunity to offload the last two years of Brett Burns’ $8.5 million contract and gained a 2nd round pick.
New York Islanders
Predicted: Kyle Turris
Actual: Anton Forsberg
Note: Forsberg gives Seattle a cheap option in net if they end up finding trade partners for their young netminders.
New York Rangers
Predicted: Travis Dermott
Actual: Ryan Donato
Note: Seattle chose the forward over the defenseman.
Ottawa Senators
Predicted: Nick Foligno
Actual: Steven Lorentz
Note: Lorentz will be cheaper than Foligno, part of what allowed Seattle to take on big contracts like Burns and RNH.
Philadelphia Flyers
Predicted: Jake McCabe
Actual: Hampus Lindholm
Note: Philly traded McCabe to Ottawa shortly before the deadline, leaving Lindholm to be taken instead
Pittsburgh Penguins
Predicted: Luke Kunin
Actual: Casey Mittelstadt
Note: Seattle must still believe that some of Mittelstadt’s hype was real.
St. Louis Blues
Predicted: Nick Leddy
Actual: Matt Murray
Note: I wasn’t willing to even consider this as a possibility. Looking forward to not having to worry about him for the next three years.
San Jose Sharks
Predicted: Jake Virtanen
Actual: Dysin Mayo
Note: I was tired at this point and chose a non-eligible player. San Jose instead spent a 5th to make sure that Seattle chose someone real.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Predicted: Joey Anderson
Actual: Otto Koivula
Note: Seattle went a tad younger and didn’t give in to any Leafs bias.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Predicted: Jesper Fast
Actual: Jesper Fast
Note: I am very smart
Vancouver Canucks
Predicted: Sean Monahan
Actual: Rasmus Ristolainen
Note: Sean Monahan also went to Seattle, as Vancouver also shipped a 2nd, a 4th, and Brendan Gallagher to their next-door neighbors, spending picks to dump over $18 million in cap.
Vegas Golden Knights
Predicted: Matt Grzelcyk
Actual: Kaapo Kahkonen
Note: Kahkonen is a young goalie who still has a decent upside, where Grzelcyk has 4 years left at $5 million.
Washington Capitals
Predicted: Jakob Silfverberg
Actual: Gustav Nyquist
Note: Seattle chose to pick up Nyquist at a slightly lower cap hit as he came back from missing a full year with a torn labrum.
Winnipeg Jets
Predicted: Erik Gudbranson
Actual: Cameron Hughes
Note: Winnipeg swung one of the bigger deals of the day, sending Vincent Trochek and a 4th along with Hughes for Ville Husso and a 2nd.
Overview: Without most protection lists yet submitted or any knowledge of any side deals, I managed to exactly get six picks correct, with two other picks ending up on Seattle as part of side deals. 8/30 is 0.267, which is Santiago Espinal’s current batting average.